civilization collapse

What does the future bring? 1 The first horseman of the apocalypse - peak energy - causes - energy costs to rise sharply - usage by cars 41%, trucks 13%, materials 10%, heat 10%, air travel 7% and other 19% shrinks - the world gets smaller and more local due to reduced travel leading to increased costs - car infrastructure - highways and bridges - become more difficult to maintain, justify and build - marginal remote communities are threatened - militaries focus on nuclear powered vessels - farming returns to less mechanized forms leading to increased costs - train usage will increase - whats the solution? - alternative fuels - are they sufficient to replace fossil fuels? - not even close - http://www.inference.phy.cam.ac.uk/withouthotair/c18/page_103.shtml - cellulose to gas - How to profit? - which items will increase in the price the most? - the items that have the longest to travel by truck - the items that are the heaviest - new cities will rise to prominenc...

i'm done. on feb 14 - i thought my goal was "focus - civ collapse vs civ restore" but no more. Thucydides documents The Peloponnesian War and human nature. Civilization collapse and civil war is inevitable - what I might be able to do is reduce - not eliminate the human suffering that is the inevitable result of the 10 horsemen of the apocalypse. my duty is self, family, community, city, and so on http://www.chinaknowledge.de/Literature/Classics/daxue.html neocodesoftware: The ancients who wished to illustrate illustrious virtue throughout the kingdom, first ordered well their own states. Wishing to order well their states, they first regulated their families. Wishing to regulate their families, they first cultivated their persons. Wishing to cultivate their persons, they first rectified their hearts. Wishing to rectify their hearts, they first sought to be sincere in their thoughts. Wishing to be sincere in their thoughts, they first extended to the utmost their knowledg...

what's my purpose? compete for resources extract resources faster and more efficiently than my competitors reproduce better and faster than my competitors species that live in balance with their environment can't compete in the short run and may survive in the long run if they can adapt to the environment i have created

The angel and the horsemen of the apocalypse Angel Peak Pollution Horsemen Peak energy Peak debt service ratio Peak land (21 feet sea level rise) Peak top soil Peak disease control / antibiotic effectiveness Peak ideal temperature Peak food Peak water Peak species Peak waste disposal Peak monumental architecture Peak art Peak fertility Peak life expectancy Peak forests

peak oil already old news says IEA - http://www.iea.org/Textbase/npsum/weo2010sum.pdf “Peak oil is not just here — it’s behind us already That’s the conclusion of the International Energy Agency, the Paris-based organization that provides energy analysis to 28 industrialized nations. According to a projection in the agency’s latest annual report, released last week, production of conventional crude oil — the black liquid stuff that rigs pump out of the ground — probably topped out for good in 2006, at about 70 million barrels a day. Production from currently producing oil fields will drop sharply in coming decades, the report suggests.” additional http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/docs/weo2010/weo2010_london_nov9.pdf oil shortage starting in 2015 http://www.countercurrents.org/martenson251110.htm source: http://www.energy.eu/publications/weo_2010-China.pdf - slide "World oil production by type in the New Policies Scenario" Colin Campbell, one of the earliest analysts of peak ...

peak oil already old news says IEA - http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/docs/weo2010/WEO2010_es_english.pdf "Crude oil output reaches an undulating plateau of around 68-69 mb/d by 2020, but never regains its all-time peak of 70 mb/d reached in 2006, while production of natural gas liquids (NGL) and unconventional oil grows quickly." oil shortage starting in 2015 http://www.countercurrents.org/martenson251110.htm Colin Campbell, one of the earliest analysts of peak oil who has decades of oil field experience, is on record as saying that the "fields yet to be developed" category, originally introduced to the world as unidentified Unconventional in 1998, is a "coded message for shortage" and was, off the record, confirmed as such by the IEA. That coded message is getting easier and clearer to receive by the day.