Skip to main content

peak oil already old news + notes

peak oil already old news says IEA -

http://www.iea.org/Textbase/npsum/weo2010sum.pdf

“Peak oil is not just here — it’s behind us already

That’s the conclusion of the International Energy Agency, the Paris-based organization that provides energy analysis to 28 industrialized nations. According to a projection in the agency’s latest annual report, released last week, production of conventional crude oil — the black liquid stuff that rigs pump out of the ground — probably topped out for good in 2006, at about 70 million barrels a day. Production from currently producing oil fields will drop sharply in coming decades, the report suggests.”

additional http://www.worldenergyoutlook.org/docs/weo2010/weo2010_london_nov9.pdf


oil shortage starting in 2015

http://www.countercurrents.org/martenson251110.htm

source: http://www.energy.eu/publications/weo_2010-China.pdf - slide "World oil production by type in the New Policies Scenario"

Colin Campbell, one of the earliest analysts of peak oil who has decades of oil field experience, is on record as saying that the "fields yet to be developed" category, originally introduced to the world as unidentified Unconventional in 1998, is a "coded message for shortage" and was, off the record, confirmed as such by the IEA. That coded message is getting easier and clearer to receive by the day.

slides on renewables:

http://www.iea.org/work/2011/rewp/Session_1_Birol.pdf


how much oil do we use and what work does it represent?

http://thestandard.org.nz/open-mike-26112010/
2.3.1.1

As McKibben points out in “Eaarth,” 1 barrel of oil yields as much energy as 25,000 hours of human manual labor—more than a decade of human labor per barrel. The average American uses 25 bbl per year (some estimates are quite a bit higher), which, he writes, is like finding 300 years of free labor annually.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

the beginning of civilisation - Göbekli Tepe

http://www.smithsonianmag.com/history-archaeology/gobekli-tepe.html?c=y&page=1 'To Schmidt and others, these new findings suggest a novel theory of civilization. Scholars have long believed that only after people learned to farm and live in settled communities did they have the time, organization and resources to construct temples and support complicated social structures. But Schmidt argues it was the other way around: the extensive, coordinated effort to build the monoliths literally laid the groundwork for the development of complex societies.' Interesting theory - but why? What was the problem building temples solved? Why was building temples cheaper than the alternative? what was that alternative? 'Hodder is fascinated that Gobekli Tepe's pillar carvings are dominated not by edible prey like deer and cattle but by menacing creatures such as lions, spiders, snakes and scorpions. "It's a scary, fantastic world of nasty-looking beasts," he muses. Whi

1 cubic mile of oil

to create the energy we get from oil by least expensive means - wind - we would need to spend an extra $10 trillion and would require an area the size of three new zealands http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cubic_mile_of_oil The world consumes approximately 3 CMO annually from all sources. Source CMO/yr Oil 1.06 Coal 0.81 Natural gas 0.61 Biomass 0.19 Nuclear 0.15 Hydroelectric 0.17 Geothermal <0.01 Wind+Photovoltaic+Solar thermal <0.005 Installing capacity to produce 1 CMO per year requires long and significant development. Allowing fifty years to develop the requisite capacity, 1 CMO of energy per year could be produced by any one of these developments: 4  Three Gorges Dams , [14]  developed each year for 50 years,  or 52  nuclear power plants , [15]  developed each year for 50 years,  or 104  coal-fired power plants , [16]  developed each year for 50 years,  or 32,850  wind turbines , [17] [18]  developed each year for 50 years,  or 91,250,000 rooftop 

a goat song

you - middle aged me - you: your grandparents were the king and queen. their dominion seemed without end. few dared to challenge them and when they did they were crushed. they sponsored great artists, scientists and engineers, and the feasts i remember went on for days. but in they end, they were very very sick, and they died. we tried everything. the best doctors came and tried the latest operations. they got the best medicine. nothing worked and finally they passed away. at was then that i found out they were deep in debt. they had sold everything. the land and everything under it. the oceans and everything in it. they had left nothing. but that's not true - they had left behind the waste. CONTINUE: play as circus: generations, terrorist, extinction, torture, dance