civilization collapse

Appealing - dieoff.org Abstract curiosity - short history More interest - tainter Compelling - diamond's collapse Obsession - web articles Depression interest More data Do others believe These are facts Keep looking for facts and believers Can it be reversed, stopped Fear Why do humans do this Why do humans repeatedly through history Acceptance How long

News - http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/03/29/markets-oil-idUSL3E8ET1TB20120329 UPDATE 1-Brent near $124 as U.S. crude stocks rise offsets Iran France  joins Britain and the U.S. in oil reserves release talks Why are they releasing oil reserves? Some reasons: 1. if they don't oil prices will spike 2. keep oil prices down to prevent economic collapse 3. signal that they plan on attacking Iran and there won't be oil shortages 4. there are large oil stock piles so rumors of release will bring prices down without needing to release

The future is Cuba / north Korea Energy poor and dependant on local resources I will survive I will not be a jailer I will not be jailed I will not be a killer I will not be killed Energy Wholesale Sustainable production Distribution - battery delivery and pickup for non grid users Point of use consumer / commercial / industrial / institutional - off the shelf energy systems Bank secure storage - hydrogen, alum, lead acid, LIon Secure transportation Backed notes Magic mountain

The situation We have declining amounts of energy in the future For the past 100 years our culture has flourished because of abundant and cheap energy There are no replacement energy sources available in the quantity or quality needed Options There is no solution only adaption and mitigation Mitigation Curb population - restrict births, offer euthanasia to the elderly, restrict immigration Curb energy usage - restrict private vehicles Curb oil and gas extraction - save for future Adaption Promote local production of goods and services through tariffs Promote mass transit Promote alternate forms of energy generation Promote pre fossil fuels means of production and transportation Promote local production goods and services that do not use fossil fuels

Wealthy secret society Air water ice earth flora fauna Air water ice earth flora fauna to solve degradion Reduce birth rates in the world's richest countries since their citizens use the most resources Air to solve ozone hole Grasses that make air vitamins Air to solve co2 Desert growing plants with oil berries Water to solve ozone hole phytoplankton that make air vitamins Water to solve acidity Coral like things that store co2 Water to solve seabed trawlers Coral like things that are cement like Water to solve over fishing Land farmable vegetarian food fish Water to solve potability Tree whose bark is a sieve to pour water through Ice to solve melting Mold that grows on ice Earth to solve top soil loss Ground cover that fixes with roots Earth to solve salinity Salt plants that make salt pods for picking Flora and fauna to solve extinction / diversity loss / genetic bottleneck Create hybrids with living and extinct Fauna to solve hunger Food crops that ...

Ancestors didn't give up when They ate all the megafuna There was an ice age They destroyed the ecosystem of the fertile crescent We won't give up when We exhaust all the oil resources We eat all the ocean megafauna The earths temperature rises by 1 degree A large part of the world experiences food shortages

michael mann - hockey stick climate scientist jarrod diamond - scientist joseph tainter - scientist ronald wright - author david mackay - scientist vaclav smil - scientist james kunstler - author Elizabeth Kolbert - journalist

tell me a story - 1 sentence for every 1000 years now start 60,000 years ago

play as 50K old human killing megafauna play as 10k old human cutting down forests for farms play as 100 yr old humans extracting oil

ideas from reading http://www.megafauna.com/intro.htm what brought the first wave of humans out of africa all the way to australia? based on the "fossil" record - it would appear to be big game - the "megafauna" an army can only move as far as its supply chain and an army only moves to aquire resources the megafauna died out 13,000 years ago pretty soon after that farming started now the "fauna" are going extinct we have exploited available resources to extinction since we left africa only 50,000 years ago why? because that behaviour has been rewarded with increased breeding opportunities

you - middle aged me - you: your grandparents were the king and queen. their dominion seemed without end. few dared to challenge them and when they did they were crushed. they sponsored great artists, scientists and engineers, and the feasts i remember went on for days. but in they end, they were very very sick, and they died. we tried everything. the best doctors came and tried the latest operations. they got the best medicine. nothing worked and finally they passed away. at was then that i found out they were deep in debt. they had sold everything. the land and everything under it. the oceans and everything in it. they had left nothing. but that's not true - they had left behind the waste. CONTINUE: play as circus: generations, terrorist, extinction, torture, dance

1. We are moving from increasing energy per person to dwindling energy per person 2. Instead of trying to imagine what the world might look like - are the peoples and places on the planet that are energy poor, have not had increasing amounts of energy or have dwindling amounts of energy now? - Amish - Sub saharan africa - Aboriginal peoples

1. For the 2000 years we have lived in a world of growing energy per person. 2. Going forward we will live in a shrinking amount of energy per person. What will this mean on a day to day basis? Let's consider a cradle to grave life story. 1. Man and wife conceive - it is more difficult than now due to falling sperm rates 2. Wife gives birth - infant mortality is increased - maternal mortality is increased 3. Baby is raised - food costs are higher - schools are multi age due to fewer children - more children die during childhood due to higher cost of medicine or absence - computers are expensive and rare due to the number materials and specialists required - the internet is expensive and rare in rural communities - old computers are valuable and treasured 4. Young adult studies - higher education will be expensive and rare 5. Young adult gets a job - more people will work in agriculture - meat will be very expensive - beer an...